Brandon McCarthy’s New Repertoire
Last night Brandon McCarthy started the home opener for the Diamondbacks. He pitched six and two-thirds innings, giving up six hits and five earned runs. Not the result he hoped for, but there were interesting changes I want to note. One start is too small of a sample size to draw any statistical conclusions, but we can see a change in a pitcher’s mindset via pitch selection.
Last year, McCarthy primarily threw four pitches: sinker, cutter, curveball, and changeup. (He threw a handful of four-seam fastballs last night, but that was a new development and the sample size is too small to allow me to say anything about it. It’s something to keep an eye on as the season progresses.) McCarthy used to throw a changeup early in his career, but he changed his mechanics after the 2010 season and moved away from the pitch. He added the changeup again in 2013, knowing that he could use one. So McCarthy worked on the changeup in early spring training, and began throwing it in games almost five percent of the time. But it seems like it’s gone again. The quotes in that article don’t explicitly say that the changeup was scrapped, but last night it was not thrown at all. When our Ryan P. Morrison talked to McCarthy three weeks ago, he confirmed that the changeup has been scrapped completely. It’s possible the coaching staff had some involvement in this decision as well.
McCarthy also used his cutter significantly less often than usual last night. Again, bear in mind that it’s only one start, but the difference is astounding. In 2013, he threw his cutter 34.6% of the time. Last night? He threw only six. That comes out to just around six percent of the time.
Why did decide to get rid of these two pitches specifically? He might be more confident in his sinker and curveball compared to the cutter and changeup. I wanted to look at the results to see if they back up this idea.Here’s the line drive rate per balls in play for the pitches in the last few years.
Year | Sinker | Change | Curve | Cutter |
2011 | 23.04 | 0.00 | 17.82 | 19.91 |
2012 | 25.86 | 0.00 | 13.46 | 23.18 |
2013 | 25.00 | 27.78 | 22.86 | 31.17 |
The changeup and cutter had significantly higher line drive rates than the other two pitches last year. To put it in context, the average LD% is 21.2. Line drives are bad. They go for hits more often than other types of batted balls. Okay, now you might be thinking, how about the fly ball rate? Well, here it is:
Year | Sinker | Change | Curve | Cutter |
2011 | 18.89 | 0.00 | 20.79 | 31.67 |
2012 | 28.45 | 0.00 | 23.08 | 33.77 |
2013 | 13.94 | 27.78 | 20.00 | 23.38 |
Again, far and away the two worst pitches were the changeup and the cutter. The average FB% was 34.3. This must have been a point of emphasis for McCarthy 2013 featured his highest home run/fly ball ratio since 2006.
It seems like McCarthy wants to rely heavily on the sinker and curve, with the occasional cutter and four-seam fastball mixed in. Time will tell if the new mix leads to different results.
2 Responses to Brandon McCarthy’s New Repertoire
Leave a Reply Cancel reply
Recent Posts
@ryanpmorrison
- Congrats to @OutfieldGrass24 on a beautiful life, wedding and wife. He deserves all of it (they both do). And I cou… https://t.co/JzJtQ7TgdJ, Jul 23
- Best part of Peralta’s 108 mph fliner over the fence, IMHO: that he got that much leverage despite scooping it out… https://t.co/ivBrl76adF, Apr 08
- RT @OutfieldGrass24: If you're bored of watching Patrick Corbin get dudes out, you can check out my latest for @TheAthleticAZ. https://t.co/k1DymgY7zO, Apr 04
- Of course, they may have overtaken the league lead for outs on the bases just now, also... But in 2017, Arizona ha… https://t.co/38MBrr2D4b, Apr 04
- Prior to the games today, there had only been 5 steals of 3rd this season (and no CS) in the National League. The… https://t.co/gVVL84vPQ5, Apr 04
Powered by: Web Designers@outfieldgrass24
- Old friend alert https://t.co/6X2Su6PKrf, 9 hours ago
- This is going to be fun and I hope you join us! #Dbacks https://t.co/YWfD7ymupf, 10 hours ago
- RT @TheRattleAZ: 🚨 LIVE VIDEO SHOW TOMORROW AT 7 PM 🚨 Join @OutfieldGrass24 and @JesseNFriedman tomorrow night at 7 PM for a… https://t.co/E9X6m7HeUV, 10 hours ago
- Disgusting. Absolutely disgusting. https://t.co/xIPKxM4viX, 10 hours ago
- RT @cdgoldstein: What are minor league teams doing to make a mark on their community without a minor league season? @OutfieldGrass24… https://t.co/4Kp6mVa0eC, 11 hours ago
Powered by: Web Designers
[…] on their arms. Something has to have changed, most likely mechanical. We’ve already highlighted his new repertoire, but there’s obviously more going on than just a reluctance to throw a […]
[…] There’s a lot for McCarthy’s suitors to dream on, including his newfound velocity and new repertoire, and even with a $1 million signing bonus kicking in, we think we can be fairly certain that if […]