Currently viewing the tag: "projections"

When I began my professional career, I started it as a high school teacher and sports coach in the Seattle metro area. I had a frequent saying that was far from original, but fit the bill nonetheless: better late than never. Students were often late to arrive to class, but I was just happy when they showed up. They’d …

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If you missed the news that the Diamondbacks closed out the first full week of the season with a record of 6-1, it’s time to move out from under that rock you call home. The pitching hasn’t been great, but the bats have been lively. The bullpen hasn’t been a disaster and the starters, while more solid than great, have …

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How do you know if something is broken? Usually, you give something a go and don’t get the desired effect. Maybe you try again and still get an error. Other times, after a second try, everything works just fine. There always little blips on the radar of life. I mean, we all have to cycle our routers once in a …

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What are some things you love? Maybe it’s special people, maybe it’s a good cup of coffee, maybe it’s a cold one after a long hard day, maybe it’s a trip on the water to wet a line. Maybe you love that perfect song, a perfect steak off the grill, an evening on the patio watching the sun slip below …

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There’s an axiom on the internet that simply states, “don’t read the comments.” I get that. Comment sections are littered with thoughtless, rude comments. Well, I should say most comment section, because here, things have been very good. I can’t even count the number of posts that have been born in the comments here. Readers have been a great inspiration …

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I’ve written about projections a lot here. To me, they’re fascinating. You’ve got to put them in the right context, of course, but the idea that you can project with a fair level of accuracy how a baseball team will perform, with all of it’s moving parts and personalities and internal issues, is pretty amazing. Projecting Bryce Harper to be …

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No one ever said it was going to be easy and, well, it just got harder. The Diamondbacks will be without star centerfielder A.J. Pollock for the bulk of 2016 season, if not all of it. That’s a bitter pill to swallow for a team that has postseason aspirations. Those aspirations are still intact, however. Don’t for a second think …

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It’s funny how the outlook for the Arizona Diamondbacks largely depends on who you hear it from. By that I mean, the team clearly loves what they’ve done this winter. They should, they have some productive, shiny, new toys. The general baseball media has the team entrenched as a contender, but perhaps as one that’s still considered just a little …

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There’s some funny stuff going on in baseball. That’s more or less always the case, especially in September, but it’s probably worth pointing out nonetheless. The Minnesota Twins might make the playoffs. They weren’t supposed to be good at all but somehow have been. They’re 26th in fWAR for position players and 16th in fWAR for pitchers. They were projected …

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The season kinda already started and that’s good. I mean, the Diamondbacks have beaten a good college team and the Rockies. There’s a joke in there somewhere, I’m just not interested enough in finding it. The team is 2-0, or 1-0, but really they’re 0-0 because Spring Training absolutely doesn’t matter from a wins and losses standpoint. And has …

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Last week, we explored the performance of the Diamondbacks’ position players this season compared to their preseason projections. Never one to leave you hanging, it’s time that we apply the same methodology to the pitching staff. The necessary caveats were in the previous post, but I’ll remind the reader that these projections are updated to reflect the performances

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I’ve just got done releasing the last of the Diamondbacks’ Steamer projections. Don’t believe me? You can find them on this very website! Because I like you, I’ll even link them here: Primer | Rotation | Outfield | Bullpen | Infield. You should check them out because they’re loaded with information from one of the most advanced baseball projection …

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*Previous entries: Steamer Projections Primer | 2014 Rotation | 2014 Outfield | 2014 Bullpen

While the 2013 Diamondbacks outfield had some great defensive performances, the infield led the way offensively. #MVPaul did most of that damage as he became one of baseballs true young stars. Aaron Hill was very good when healthy and Martin Prado, despite some down months, …

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*Previous entries: Steamer Projections Primer | 2014 Rotation | 2014 Outfield

Writing about the Arizona bullpen is like having to talk to your neighbors. No, not the friendly neighbors who invited you over drinks last night, I’m talking about the neighbors who smile when you see them but throw their dog poop over the fence and into your lawn. …

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*Previous entries: Steamer Projection Primer | 2014 Rotation

The Diamondbacks’ outfield was solid but unspectacular at the plate in 2013. There were no black holes, at least once Jason Kubel stopped receiving playing time, as everyone posted a wOBA right around .320. Unfortunately, there were no standouts with the bat and unit lacked offensive punch last season. Defense, though, …

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*If you’re unfamiliar with these projections, please read the Primer on Steamer Projections

The Arizona rotation did not grade out particularly well in 2013. Although Patrick Corbin had an unexpected breakout, several rotation members disappointed. Ian Kennedy pitched himself right out of a Diamondbacks uniform, Brandon McCarthy never got it together and Trevor Cahill was wildly inconsistent. Wade Miley …

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