Currently viewing the category: "Research"

In last week’s 2014 payroll analysis, I used a $4.5M figure for Parra’s 2014 salary, a working number that might work either as an arbitration award or as year one of an extension.  The truth is that this figure could be more than a million lower or quite a bit higher, given the number of unique issues his arbitration …

Continue Reading

The Diamondbacks Have Currency

On November 12, 2013 By

In baseball, nothing speaks more than the almighty dollar. Don’t believe me? Run a correlation between dollars and wins. In the long term, the money almost always wins out. The Diamondbacks don’t have a lot of money, but they do have another form of currency: prospects.

While working on our offseason plan for the team, which will be released early …

Continue Reading

Who Will Patrick Corbin Be?

On November 7, 2013 By

There’s no debate about the fact that Patrick Corbin had a fantastic year in 2013. He was clearly the anchor of a Diamondbacks staff that was otherwise tough to figure out. And not tough to figure out in a good way, where hitters didn’t know what was coming. Rather, the rotation was tough to figure out because it lacked consistency. …

Continue Reading

We know from Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic that the 2014 payroll could top the $100 million mark for 2014, but as Piecoro also explained, a jump in payroll of $10-15 million would get largely eaten up by increased salaries for players already on the team.  Consequently, GM Kevin Towers may need to subtract if he adds on …

Continue Reading

Behind the Curve (Pt. 2)

On November 5, 2013 By

Strikeouts, again.

I feel like I’ve been harping on the K’s lately, or lack of them in the Diamondbacks’ case. But I keep coming back to the strikeouts like I keep coming back to the home runs when I try to mentally reconcile the 2013 season. In fact, last week, I linked the two of these phenomena and today I …

Continue Reading

Well, the hot stove has officially been sparked in Arizona.

Kevin Towers wasted no time getting things going by claiming utility man Matt Tuiasosopo from the Detroit Tigers. The former top Mariner prospect made his major league debut back in 2008 but was usually jettisoned back to the minors in no time. 2013 was his first full major league season …

Continue Reading

Behind the Curve (Pt. 1)

On October 31, 2013 By

Strikeouts.

We all heard a lot about them in 2013 and if you’ve been paying attention, you’ve probably noticed that they have been on the rise for a while now. Throughout the game, more batters are striking out and pitchers are accumulating K’s at a higher rate. The relationship between pitched strikeouts and strikeouts by batters is obvious, but let’s …

Continue Reading

With the announcements that RF Gerardo Parra and 1B Paul Goldschmidt have taken home Gold Gloves for their 2013 play, I thought I might put those achievements in context.  The next post will be Parra, whose achievement is interesting because of how extremely good he was this year, in several components of what makes a good right fielder a good …

Continue Reading

At ESPN, Dan Szymborski officially kicked off the trade speculation season with a piece on possible fits for David Price, setting the blogosphere aflame with responses to each package floated by Dan.

I pretty much agree with everything that AZ Snake Pit’s Jim McLennan wrote, so feel free to go check that out now, if you haven’t already …

Continue Reading

In the recent roster breakdown series, I didn’t discuss the catcher position, in part because there’s little doubt about who will start next year.  There’s every reason to expect that Miguel Montero will return to form next year, and even if he didn’t, he’s unlikely to be so bad that the team would think about punting his significant contract …

Continue Reading

Like most teams, Arizona is likely to have more turnover in the bullpen than in any other portion of the roster. The much-maligned relief crew actually came on pretty strong in the second half of the season, but we can expect Kevin Towers to make some changes — even if that’s just because there are more candidates on the current …

Continue Reading

As a staff, Diamondbacks pitchers ranked 21st among 30 teams in WAR (11.0) and 17th in ERA (3.92).  D-backs starters came in 22nd in WAR (8.8) and 19th in ERA (4.13).  As with most teams, the sample was big enough that there was a pretty close match between ERA and FIP (4.15).

If the expected major league starters are healthy …

Continue Reading

The Arizona Diamondbacks released a flyer to the national media yesterday lobbying for Paul Goldschmidt to take home NL MVP honors. Here’s a look at that release: Goldschmidt for NL MVP

Obviously, Goldy is deserving and we certainly hope he gets recognized for an outstanding season. Anything less than second place in the voting is a disservice and one could …

Continue Reading

Just like the outfield, the D-backs infield will have a lot of moving parts in 2014.  Paul Goldschmidt will start as many times as he’s able at first base, but no other position is likely to be manned by the same player 150 or more times next year.

The other clear starter in the infield, of course, is Aaron …

Continue Reading

We can be pretty darned sure that Tony Campana won’t be a full time center fielder for the D-backs next year.  Beyond that, there isn’t a whole lot we can bank on.

Just before Cody Ross got injured, I wrote how the time share in the Arizona outfield was working.  Jason Kubel had been edged out, leaving most of …

Continue Reading

No matter how you slice it, Montero was one of the top five hitters who played catcher for most of their games last year.  At 124 wRC+, he was 24% better at creating runs than the average hitter.  That’s hitter, not catcher — and in part because above-average hitters at catcher are expected to be scarce, Montero put up a …

Continue Reading